HOW DOES THE APPRAISER MEASURE THE HOUSE?

If you look at the blueprints of a house, the outside measurements are of the exterior part of the foundation wall.  The framing of the house and the exterior siding can extend beyond the foundation wall.

When an appraiser is measuring a house, I feel it is best to approximate the foundation wall dimensions.  Therefore, if a wall being measured is 24 feet nine inches long, it might be better to call that a 24 and 1/2 foot wall.  Rounding back three inches would put the measurements closer to representing the exterior foundation wall, rather than the measurements of the siding.  More importantly, it would be inappropriate for the appraiser to round the 24 foot nine inch measurement to 25 feet.  By doing this the appraiser would be including space that is not contained in the house.

Garages and other attached or detached areas are usually measured separately.  An important reason for this is that a garage usually is not finished to the degree of the living area of the house.  The garage seldom has bathrooms, or kitchens and usually no finished flooring.  For this reason the garage would need to be analyzed separately, therefore measured separately.

Today there are very good sketching programs that allow the appraiser to enter the house dimensions and have a very accurate representation of the dimensions of the house.

Ralph Olsen

pwas.net

APPRAISAL METHODOLOGIES

I have been asked to describe the methodologies that appraisers use when estimating the market value of a house.  There is a lot to be said about that topic, but I will briefly describe the methods here.  With houses as the frame of reference, I will describe the three appraisal methods with the least reliable first and the most reliable last.

First, the Income Approach to value is used when a property produces an income stream to the owner.  This approach is more viable with apartment buildings, shopping centers, office buildings, etc.  All these property types are designed to produce a revenue stream.  Houses, on the other hand, are mainly built to house an owner occupant.  A small percentage of the housing stock is rented.  For this reason, it is difficult (but not impossible) to develop a value estimation based on revenues generated by the property.  Also, to do this type of analysis there must be plentiful information from houses that sold while rented.  It is from recent sales of rented houses that the Gross Rent Multiplier is developed.  Since this data is not plentiful, the Income Approach to value is not often very reliable for house appraisal analysis.

Second, the Cost Approach to value is used in most residential appraisals.  The idea is to estimate the site (land) value, add to it the cost to build the house, and from that subtract the depreciation on the improvements (house).  A new house has no accrued physical depreciation.  Older houses have more or less depreciation depending on their age, how well they have been maintained, and other economic influences.  Although the Cost Approach is generally useful, it is not what the market uses to set house prices.  So, it is not as reliable as the Sales Comparison Approach, but often more reliable than the Income Approach.

Third, the Sales Comparison Approach is the one that best reflects the activities of the market.  This technique looks at recent sales of houses near and similar to the house being appraised (subject property).  After gathering the most recent, near and similar sales data, the appraiser will go through an analytical process to compensate for differences between the subject property and the other sales.  For instance, if the subject house has a one car garage, and one of the sales that was nearby and recent had a two car garage, yet was otherwise very similar to the subject, the appraiser would subtract the value of the second garage space from the sales price of the house with the two car garage.  This effectively accounts for the difference in value of a house with a one car garage compared to a similar house with a two car garage.  After all the details of this process are completed the appraiser will have several “adjusted” sales that give value indications.  After completing this process the appraiser has to decide which of the data is most similar to the subject property and then determine a value conclusion.

This whole process leads to the value conclusion that the appraiser presents in an appraisal report.  The process is simple and straight forward.  If you ever read an appraisal report, and you don’t understand how the value conclusion was reached, either the appraiser was not a good report writer, or someone is tying to fool someone.  There are properties that are so unusual that it is difficult to make sense of them.  Then, the  appraisal report may be more difficult to follow.  But, generally, an appraisal report is very logical and funnels down from the general information about the property and the market it is in, down to the specific value conclusion.

Ralph Olsen

pwas.net

APPRAISAL INDUSTRY NEWS AND UPDATE

Below is a link to a fun and informative presentation by Frank Garay and Brian Stevens at Think Big Work Small.


http://www.thinkbigworksmall.com/mypage/player/tbws/27001/1023944 

Ralph K. Olsen, MAI, SRA, IFA

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

NOTES ON THE APPRAISER’S COALITION OF WASHINGTON

I joined the Appraiser’s Coalition of Washington (ACOW).

They need the support of all the real estate appraisers in Washington.

You can see their website at    http://www.acow-wa.org/

The Appraisers’ Coalition of Washington (ACOW) is a Washington non-profit corporation organized by the Washington chapters of all appraisal organizations that are member organizations of the Appraisal Foundation Advisory Council.”

If you support the integrity of the real estate appraisal profession and are committed to its health and vitality, please review their website, then join.

Thank you

Ralph Olsen

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

Residential Appraisers United

It is time for residential appraisers to group together and hold their professional ground.

Since the early 1990′s the residential appraisal community has fragmented and become less professional than it was.  During the ramp up of the residential mortgage boom that created the big bubble that burst in 2007, more and more lenders manipulated more and more appraisers.  The result was inflated appraisal reports that left homeowners and securities investors vulnerable.  It even drove some of them out of existence.

We all know what happened.

Up until the beginning of the 1990′s lenders looked to the professional appraisal organizations to provided training and education for appraisers.  Lenders commonly chose appraisers that were members of the American Institute of Real Estate Appraisers (now the Appraisal Institute), the Society of Real Estate Appraisers (now merged with the Appraisal Institute), and the National Association of Independent Fee Appraisers.

The Federal Financial Institutions Reform Recovery and Enforcement Act of 1989 caused a change.  Preference for appraisers that had credentials from professional organizations was discouraged.  (A big mistake, I say.)  New appraisal education companies arose, that offered lower quality education than did the professional organizations.  The standard of education and ethics diminished over the last twenty years.

The advent of appraisal management companies (AMC’s) was part of the problem.  Many of them looked for the newest, least educated and least successful of appraisers to add to their approved lists.  With these lesser skilled and trained appraisers the AMC’s (and mortgage brokers and mortgage bankers) had a better opportunity to manipulate the results of appraisal reports.

It became common place for the loan originator, or AMC to tell the  appraiser that the appraiser would get lots of work to do if the appraiser just provided a report with a value conclusion that the lender wanted to see, no matter what it took.  And, a very large percentage of the residential appraisal community did just that.

I called all the lenders listed under the heading “Mortgages” in the 2008 – 2009 Yellow Book of Clark County Washington.  There were 131 entities listed.  Fifty five of them were no longer in business.

I followed up by talking to some of those still in business.  I asked them some questions about what it is like dealing with the new appraisal guidelines for ordering appraisals.  The responses were varied.

The last question I asked was “Do you give preference to appraisers who have designations from professional appraisal organizations?”  I got three answers.  One was, “What’ that?”  Another was, “No.” The last was, “No, but I think we ought to.”

I see the last answer as an open door for the Appraisal Institute (AI) and the National Association of Independent Fee Appraisers (NAIFA) to make known to the lenders what is required for an appraiser to become an SRA (Senior Residential Appraiser), awarded by the Appraisal Institute; or an IFA (Independent Fee Appraiser), awarded by the NAIFA.

These two credentials, SRA and IFA, are equivalent to a Masters Degree in residential real estate economics.  I have both designations and can attest to their credibility.

Most residential appraisers do not even associate with a professional appraisal organization, let alone do what is required to get the professional designation, SRA or IFA.  I say that this fact is caused by two things.  One, the professional organizations have been very lax in promoting the value of appraisers so highly trained.  And, that the loan originators and AMC’s, by and large, have been bottom fishers, looking for the least amongst us to do their bidding.

It is time for the TRULY PROFESSIONAL APPRAISER TO TAKE BACK SOME TERRITORY.  We SRA’s and IFA’s are the best of the best.  There are lots of statistics that support this claim.

If you are a loan originator or AMC reading this, please respond and tell us all if you agree or disagree with my assertions.

Ralph K. Olsen, MAI, SRA, IFA

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

CONDOMINIUM STATISTICS, HIDDEN ABODES

In the east Hazel Dell area there is a condominium named Hidden Abodes.  A look at its performance since coming on line in 2005 depicts the current state of the market.

Hidden Abodes was completed in 2005 and began selling.  There are a total of 18 units in the development.  All sold in 2005 except for one unit, which has never sold.

In 2005 the seventeen units that did sell were on the market for an average of 68 days and sold for an average of $135 per square foot.  That equates to an average sales price of $164,606.  The average size of these two story units is 1,221 square feet.

After having mostly sold out, there was one sale in 2006 for $192,500.  That is a rate per square foot of $143.  The market was still rising.

In 2007 there were three sales that averaged $162,933, or $137 per square foot.  The market had gone past it’s peak.

In 2008 there has been one sale for $142,000.  The rate per square foot was $120.

From 2005 to 2006 the market for these properties appeared to have jumped almost 17%.  From 2006 to 2007 it appears to have declined about 15.3%.  Then, from 2007 to 2008 it declined another 13%.

There is not enough data from the sales in this project to be statistically definitive, but they do track with the rest of the market pretty well.

Currently there are two listings in the development.  They average $122,100.  That is $103 per square foot.

Ralph K. Olsen, IFA

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

FHA HOME LOANS

The FHA was established in the 1930′s to insure residential real estate loans. It was designed to assist people (mostly first time home buyers) to get financing they otherwise might not afford. Only 3% down payment was required to qualify and gifts and grants can be used for down payments and closing costs. In their 70 years of business they have made over 34 million loans.

The FHA had a pretty stable percentage of the market for decades. Then, in the early and middle 2000′s the new ‘”creative” loan types came available that required nothing down. During that time frame the FHA insured few loans.

Now the FHA is on the rise. It is one of the most attractive loan programs available today. Also, the FHA lending criteria have been made more progressive to appeal to a larger segment of the market. The maximum loan value has been increased to $418,750. This, compared to the average home price of around $349,000 (RMLS stats.) is above average. The FHA, in decades past, had a loan ceiling that was below the average home sale price. So, they are reaching out to a larger segment of the market.

Ralph Olsen, IFA appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

MARKET INDICATORS VANCOUVER, WA

I did an appraisal several days ago.  There were plenty of recent, conventionally financed sales in the area that were very similar to the subject.  There were also REO sales (bank foreclosures) and some creatively financed and traded houses.  The appraisal was pretty easy, but the market is a bit dicey.

I went to a neighborhood that is about five years old several days ago.  There are about 150 houses in the sub division.  As I looked for sales data I found that there haven’t been a sale in that development in the last six months that was not a foreclosure, and there were a number of foreclosure sales.  There were no cash, conventionally financed or even creatively financed sales to be found.

It is difficult these days to read the data.  It is very mixed.  Some neighborhoods are doing pretty well.  Others are not doing well at all.  It will be interesting to look at the NTS statistics at the end of this month.

Ralph Olsen, IFA appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

RIDGEFIELD, WA HILLHURST SUBDIVISION

The Hillhurst subdivision in Ridgefield, Washington was placed in the county records in November 2003. There are 117 platted lots, including some with older houses on them. Roughly 24 of the lots, or 21% of the development appears to have been existing housing (according to on line county records). I was not able to tell from the county records how many of the lots have been built on. However, the MLS reports that since 01/01/2004 there have been 32 sales of new houses.

I went into the development yesterday to look at a house in foreclosure. I saw lots of for sale signs along the street. The MLS shows 19 active listings in the subdivision with an additional three pending sales.

Of the 19 listings there were nine noted in the listings or county records as being foreclosures or bank owned. There were five notations of “price reductions.”

Hillhurst has a lot of product on the market with little demand at this time.

Ralph Olsen, Appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

APPRAISAL PORTLAND, OR NORTHEAST PORTLAND

Several days ago I did an appraisal of a house in the Woodlawn district of northeast Portland.  It is a house that is about five years old amongst a lot of houses that are 50 to 100 years old.  There are many of these newer infill houses in that part of town. (Appraisal Portland, OR)

The owner of this house paid $259,000 in the fall of 2006.  I completed the appraisal and concluded the current value is $225,000.  The average days on market for houses like this one, in that area of town was 85.  Not bad.  The high days on market for that data search was 230.

There is a lot of mixed indicators out there.  However, several recent experiences are suggesting some market areas are falling back, even if the larger district shows positive statistics.  We will keep watching.

Ralph Olsen, Appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net