Geographic Competance and Appraisal Practice

This whole thing about “Geographic Competence” is a load of crap.

It seems that we appraisers get pounded every time the lending industry gets itself into trouble.  We don’t lend the money.  We don’t even have the money.  But, we often get blamed for the industry’s problems.

I do know that there are bad appraisers.  There are appraisers that think that whatever they say about a property is simply what is so; even when they are expressing their own prejudices and personal preferences.  That’s a load of bunk.

As appraisers we are “investigative reporters specializing in residential real estate economics.”  If we are asked to go somewhere we have never been, and do an appraisal there, it is our job to get familiar with the market and analyze it appropriately.

I say that the appraisers who have produced crummy appraisals in markets distant from their offices also produce crummy appraisals in their own neighborhoods.

As a result of the current misguided requirements that appraisers should not travel more than about 30 miles from their offices to inspect properties, I have stopped doing work in areas I have been very active in since the early 1980′s.

It is frustrating, as a professional, to be told I am not qualified to do an assignment because it is too far from my office.   It seems to me that the weeding out process to get rid of bad appraisers needs to be improved.

Anyway, this is just a rant, so ignore it.

Ralph K. Olsen

MAI, SRA, IFA

pwas.net

Residential Appraisers United

It is time for residential appraisers to group together and hold their professional ground.

Since the early 1990′s the residential appraisal community has fragmented and become less professional than it was.  During the ramp up of the residential mortgage boom that created the big bubble that burst in 2007, more and more lenders manipulated more and more appraisers.  The result was inflated appraisal reports that left homeowners and securities investors vulnerable.  It even drove some of them out of existence.

We all know what happened.

Up until the beginning of the 1990′s lenders looked to the professional appraisal organizations to provided training and education for appraisers.  Lenders commonly chose appraisers that were members of the American Institute of Real Estate Appraisers (now the Appraisal Institute), the Society of Real Estate Appraisers (now merged with the Appraisal Institute), and the National Association of Independent Fee Appraisers.

The Federal Financial Institutions Reform Recovery and Enforcement Act of 1989 caused a change.  Preference for appraisers that had credentials from professional organizations was discouraged.  (A big mistake, I say.)  New appraisal education companies arose, that offered lower quality education than did the professional organizations.  The standard of education and ethics diminished over the last twenty years.

The advent of appraisal management companies (AMC’s) was part of the problem.  Many of them looked for the newest, least educated and least successful of appraisers to add to their approved lists.  With these lesser skilled and trained appraisers the AMC’s (and mortgage brokers and mortgage bankers) had a better opportunity to manipulate the results of appraisal reports.

It became common place for the loan originator, or AMC to tell the  appraiser that the appraiser would get lots of work to do if the appraiser just provided a report with a value conclusion that the lender wanted to see, no matter what it took.  And, a very large percentage of the residential appraisal community did just that.

I called all the lenders listed under the heading “Mortgages” in the 2008 – 2009 Yellow Book of Clark County Washington.  There were 131 entities listed.  Fifty five of them were no longer in business.

I followed up by talking to some of those still in business.  I asked them some questions about what it is like dealing with the new appraisal guidelines for ordering appraisals.  The responses were varied.

The last question I asked was “Do you give preference to appraisers who have designations from professional appraisal organizations?”  I got three answers.  One was, “What’ that?”  Another was, “No.” The last was, “No, but I think we ought to.”

I see the last answer as an open door for the Appraisal Institute (AI) and the National Association of Independent Fee Appraisers (NAIFA) to make known to the lenders what is required for an appraiser to become an SRA (Senior Residential Appraiser), awarded by the Appraisal Institute; or an IFA (Independent Fee Appraiser), awarded by the NAIFA.

These two credentials, SRA and IFA, are equivalent to a Masters Degree in residential real estate economics.  I have both designations and can attest to their credibility.

Most residential appraisers do not even associate with a professional appraisal organization, let alone do what is required to get the professional designation, SRA or IFA.  I say that this fact is caused by two things.  One, the professional organizations have been very lax in promoting the value of appraisers so highly trained.  And, that the loan originators and AMC’s, by and large, have been bottom fishers, looking for the least amongst us to do their bidding.

It is time for the TRULY PROFESSIONAL APPRAISER TO TAKE BACK SOME TERRITORY.  We SRA’s and IFA’s are the best of the best.  There are lots of statistics that support this claim.

If you are a loan originator or AMC reading this, please respond and tell us all if you agree or disagree with my assertions.

Ralph K. Olsen, MAI, SRA, IFA

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

FHA RESIDENTIAL REPAIRS

I had been asked by a lender to use the 1004D for FHA repairs completion reporting recently.  I did.  I also was asked by another lender to use a special HUD report for completion of repairs.  But, they didn’t know the name of the form.

I called HUD and they said they do not use the 1004D.  They use the Compliance Inspection Report (CIR).  Although the old V.C. report (Valuation Contingency) is no longer in use, the CIR is the report to use for compliance inspections for HUD.

Also, the Rose City chapter of the National Association of Independent Fee Appraisers will be hosting an instructor from the Santa Ana office of HUD who will be presenting a class at Clackamas Community College on September 20, 2008.  You can see the details at    http://www.ifanw.com/education.asp

Ralph Olsen, IFA appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

FHA HOME LOANS

The FHA was established in the 1930′s to insure residential real estate loans. It was designed to assist people (mostly first time home buyers) to get financing they otherwise might not afford. Only 3% down payment was required to qualify and gifts and grants can be used for down payments and closing costs. In their 70 years of business they have made over 34 million loans.

The FHA had a pretty stable percentage of the market for decades. Then, in the early and middle 2000′s the new ‘”creative” loan types came available that required nothing down. During that time frame the FHA insured few loans.

Now the FHA is on the rise. It is one of the most attractive loan programs available today. Also, the FHA lending criteria have been made more progressive to appeal to a larger segment of the market. The maximum loan value has been increased to $418,750. This, compared to the average home price of around $349,000 (RMLS stats.) is above average. The FHA, in decades past, had a loan ceiling that was below the average home sale price. So, they are reaching out to a larger segment of the market.

Ralph Olsen, IFA appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

RESIDETIAL LENDING AND THE APPRAISER VANCOUVER, WA

I got a phone message from a loan officer at ‘Great Big National Lender’ yesterday, a very familiar company you’d all know the name of.  The loan officer wanted me to “check the value” on a property and if it did not reach a certain level they would not initiate a loan.

For those of you that don’t know it, it is illegal to do such a thing.  In the first place, I don’t know any more about the property than the loan officer does at this point.  In the second place, to do what the loan officer asked IS AN APPRAISAL.  To do such an appraisal legally there must be an auditable file to support the verbal report to the loan officer.  And, thirdly, Fannie Mae frowns on that kind of activity quite harshly.

I called the lender to see what their policy was.  They not only forbid such behavior, they have a team set up nationally to monitor and discourage such activity.

There was a time when such illegal activity was ignored by most lenders.  Some have always supported appraiser independence.  Without appraiser independence from the influence of loan officers the appraisals often become biased to the result the loan officer is looking for regardless of what the actual market value of the property might be.

Ralph K. Olsen,  Appraiser

Pacific  West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

FHA APPRAISAL VANCOUVER, WA

FHA appraisal requests are up significantly this year.

I was a specialist for FHA appraisals before they went to lender selection of appraisers in the early 1990′s.  The FHA had chosen several appraisers locally to watch for indications of fraud in the market; flips and contract fraud, etc.  After lender selection of the appraiser went into affect seems the lenders did not want those appraisers that followed the FHA rules to do their appraisals.  They wanted those appraisers that would respond to the whims of the lender and not adhere to FHA insurance needs.  Then, the FHA got into trouble and the appraisers got blamed.  Probably rightly so.  At least, to blame the appraisers that ignored the FHA concerns about property condition would be justified.  But, those appraisers were chosen by the lenders for the appraiser’s pliability, not their integrity.  Oh, those rascally lenders.   Seems the stories about the lenders mistakes keep coming up, then someone else gets blamed and the lenders get bailed out.  They are all about FREE MARKETS until they stumble and fall.  Then it is “Where’s my government bail out?”    But, I’m whining, aren’t I?

Fannie Mae is now looking at the possibility of black listing lenders who manipulate the appraiser into producing fraudulent appraisals.  The pendulum has swung.  I have been complaining to FNMA since the 1980′s about the lenders black listing appraisers for not committing fraud on the lender’s behalf.  I guess a lonely voice was inadequate to affect the change.  A few hundred billion dollars in losses and loss of market confidence seems to have gotten their attention.

Ralph K. Olsen,  Appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

Vancouver, WA Appraiser in need of a Topic

As you can see from my previous writings I pick topics and write about different micro and macro markets in the Metro area. If you have a topic you would like explored, send it to me. I’ll take a look at it and see what can be developed. I use the MLS data and county records for my analyses. My focus is on Vancouver, WA appraisal topics, but I cover the entire Portland, OR appraisal area. Thanks

It Goes Up!, It Goes Down?

A lot of people invested in the residential real estate market haven’t been in the market for more than a few years.  And, seem to think the  market has always just gone up, and up, and up.  They were still Big Bird and Barney fans in 1979.   However……………………

I was visiting this after noon with a fellow appraiser in the Portland Metropolitan area.  He just completed an appraisal of a house in the southwest suburbs.  Nothing unusual about the house.  Typical for the area.  His analysis based on the most recent sales available (all of them very similar houses on similar sites) produced a value conclusion in the low $300,000′s.  He followed up by putting three listings/pendings in the grid of his report and adjusting them just as he had the sales.  These listings and pendings were, again, very similar to the subject in all aspects.

Each of the sales he used in his analysis were from July, August, September.  They were the most recent available that matched the subject.  The listings and pendings, after adjustments, suggested a market value in the neighborhood of $270,00 to $280,00 or so.

His conclusion was that, for that product, during that time frame, in that market; the market value had dropped 2% per month since September till now.  Interesting!

I don’t see that to be true throughout the metro area.  However, it is an indication of market softness.  The new money being pumped into the system will have some effect.  I still think that by April we will have a clear view of the condition of the local residential real estate market.  As we continue to look at days on market, foreclosures and prices, we’ll be able to see which direction the lines on the graph point.

Ralph Olsen, Appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc.

pwas.net

An Upswing in Activity

Wow!!  Looks like that new money being pumped into the system is having an effect.  New orders for appraisal services to support sales and re-finances are up this month.  I visited last week with a man who is re-financing.  He said he was getting a 4.75% fixed rate on a 15 year loan.  Not bad.

New work is coming from all directions right now.  It will be interesting to track the results of this activity.  I am looking forward to lots of sales activity in this mix of activity.  Right now, when I complete an appraisal, I find that the most useful sales data is often in the June-July-August-September-October range, with little available sales data in the November-December-January time frame.  That was a lean time for sales.

Other than the disaster situations (overextended developers and builders, etc.), residential real estate prices seem to be holding on pretty well.  Yet, marketing time has continued to rise.  I will look at another micro market soon to see what it has to offer for insight into these interesting times.

Ralph Olsen, Appraiser

Pacific West Appraisal Services, Inc

pwas.net

Who’s the Bad Guy?

I recently read about a state where the real estate appraisers are promoting legislation to prevent coercion of appraisers.  What they’d like to see is a law that makes it illegal for anyone to ask an appraiser to produce fraudulent appraisal reports.  It would be illegal to blacklist, bribe, extort, intimidate or refuse to pay an appraiser for not producing the specific appraisal results wanted.

This looks like a good idea.  If those who do these things to get their way with the appraiser’s work have no downside (fines and jail time) to discourage them, the so called “lender pressure” will never end.

Over the years I have gotten to know who the appraisers are that do “custom” work; appraisals that have a value conclusion based on the borrower’s or lender’s desires rather than a U.S.P.A.P. appropriate REPORT of the market value of the property.   I review appraisals for lenders.  Recently I reviewed an appraisal where the appraiser used four listings and one sale, ignoring all the other available sales data, in order to come up with a value conclusion that matched the developers sale price of a multi million dollar residential property.  What’s up with that???  It doesn’t meet the U.S.P.A.P.  It doesn’t meet FNMA guidelines.  It was a total piece of “custom” junk.   I don’t know what the conversation was between the lender and the appraiser, but the appraiser should be spanked good for that one.

I fall into a different category of opinion than those who are working to prevent the non coercion legislation (though it appears a good idea).  I say it is the appraiser who is at fault.  I mean to say, that if I was asked by someone to rob a bank and give them the money, I’d tell them to “buzz off!”  That’s an easy one.  But, if a lender asks me to produce a fraudulent appraisal report so they can close a deal that wouldn’t happen without the fraudulent report, and they offer to give me lots of appraisal assignments if I just “play along,” it is more tempting.  I can up my gross income working with a lender like that.  Really.  I can do great with those people.

I suggest here that most residential real estate appraisers work that way.  They roll over and give the lender any thing they want, as long as the work keeps coming.  And, they know that many state’s licensure and certification offices don’t have enough staff to pursue them if they get challenged for this kind of work.  Law with little or no teeth.

In an ideal world, every appraiser would “just say no” to coercive activities designed to get the appraiser to produce fraudulent appraisals.   If all appraisers said “NO,” the lending industry would have to live with appraisals that REPORT the market’s indication of what the property is worth.  This would leave lenders knowing what their level of risk is on loans they create.  And, it would make their real estate based securities more marketable.  And, the return they would get from the sale of those securities would be maximized due to the “known” risk rather than a great deal of “unknown” risk due to appraisal fraud.

Although an idealist, I do realize that I (and we) do not live in an ideal world.  When money is made available, integrity very often goes out the window.  It is on the news every day.